Waterloo Research - Week 11 2025

Week 11: 10th - 14th March 2025


GBPUSD :

Last week was a bull run for GBPUSD. It opened at 1.2586 on 3rd March 2025, Monday, and closed around 1.2921 on 7th March 2025, Friday, which is a rally of around 335 pips. The GBPUSD is rallying from 13th Jan 2025, taking retracement here and there. But last week was definitely the largest rally in a week of this year. Next week we may see some sluggishness because it has rallied quite a lot in a single week. On 07th March, which was Friday, the non-farm payroll and unemployment rate in the USA disappointed the USD. Remember, 1.3000 is a strong resistance. Bullish trades should be taken with caution now. If anyhow it goes below 28th February 2025 low of 1.2559, I would say the possibility of any upward movement is very low, and any long position should be avoided. But anyways, next week traders should be cautious because it has rallied quite a lot in the last week, and any long position at this stage should be created with a deep stop loss or should be completely avoided, and traders should wait till 12th March 2025, which is Wednesday, to see the inflation data of the USA and create long or short positions accordingly. The last time the GBPUSD was above 1.3000 was on 11th November 2024 on a closing basis.

Economic Calender - USA

Date Time Country Importance Event Forecast Previous
11th March 2025 02:00 PM UTC USA High JOLTs Job Openings 7.71 M 7.6 M
12th March 2025 12:30 PM UTC USA High Inflation Rate MoM 0.3% 0.5%
12th March 2025 12:30 PM UTC USA High Inflation Rate YoY 2.9% 3%
12th March 2025 12:30 PM UTC USA High Core Inflation Rate MoM 0.3% 0.4%
12th March 2025 12:30 PM UTC USA High Core Inflation Rate YoY 3.2% 3.3%
13th March 2025 12:30 PM UTC USA High PPI MoM 0.3% 0.4%
14th March 2025 02:00 PM UTC USA High Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel 64 64.7

Economic Calender - United Kingdom

Date Time Country Importance Event Forecast Previous
14th March 2025 07:00 AM UTC UK High GDP MoM 0.1% 0.4%